The live campaign: day-type keys chosen each morning, stage predictions published before the flag drops, and a GC tracker updated as the race reshapes itself.
Stages
Green settled · yellow predicted · struck-through cancelled · plain upcoming.
Race views
Where the general classification stands, how the model's GC heads read it, and how that compares with the market's view.
The full diary: every stage card with its scenarios, prediction boards, and morning-after reflections in one place.
The post-race accounting: what the model got right, what it missed, and what the campaign taught us.
The architecture behind these pages: pricing heads, the pricing layer, and the day-type retrieval channel.
Stage log
| St | Date | Route | Day key | Status | Page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat 22 Aug | Monaco ITT, 9.4 km | itt 1 | settled | prediction |
| 2 | Sun 23 Aug | Monaco → Manosque, 214.3 km | res_7 0.55 · res_1 0.45 | settled | prediction |
| 3 | Mon 24 Aug | Gruissan → Font-Romeu, 174 km | gc_day 0.75 · res_2 0.25 | cancelled | prediction |
| 4 | Tue 25 Aug | Andorra la Vella → Andorra la Vella, 104.8 km | gc_day 0.6 · res_2 0.4 | settled | prediction |
| 5 | Wed 26 Aug | Falset → Roquetes, 173.4 km | res_7 0.5 · bunch 0.35 · res_3 0.15 | settled | prediction |
| 6 | Thu 27 Aug | Alcossebre → Castellón, 177.4 km | res_2 0.65 · gc_day 0.35 | settled | prediction |
| 7 | Fri 28 Aug | Vall d'Alba → Aramón Valdelinares, 149.8 km | gc_day 0.6 · res_2 0.4 | settled | prediction |
| 8 | Sat 29 Aug | Puçol → Xeraco, 171 km | bunch 0.6 · res_3 0.25 · res_7 0.15 | settled | prediction |
| 9 | Sun 30 Aug | La Vila Joiosa/Villajoyosa → Alto de Aitana, 187.4 km | gc_day 1 | settled | prediction |
| 10 | Tue 1 Sep | Sant Mateu → Vinaròs region, 1 September 2026 | bunch 0.5 · res_3 0.3 · res_7 0.2 | settled | prediction |
| 11 | Wed 2 Sep | Cartagena → Lorca, 151.3 km | bunch 0.65 · res_3 0.2 · res_1 0.15 | settled | prediction |
| 12 | Thu 3 Sep | Vera → Observatorio de Calar Alto, 166.6 km | res_2 0.55 · gc_day 0.45 | settled | prediction |
| 13 | Fri 4 Sep | 4 September 2026 (no prediction made) | — | settled | prediction |
| 14 | Sat 5 Sep | Jaén → Sierra de la Pandera, 154.5 km | gc_day 0.6 · res_2 0.4 | settled | prediction |
| 15 | Sun 6 Sep | Palma del Río → Córdoba, 110.2 km (shortened from 189.7 km, extreme-heat protocol) | bunch 0.55 · res_3 0.3 · res_1 0.15 | settled | prediction |
| 16 | Tue 8 Sep | Cortegana → La Rábida. Palos de la Frontera, 181.1 km | bunch 0.55 · res_3 0.3 · res_1 0.15 | settled | prediction |
| 17 | Wed 9 Sep | Dos Hermanas → Sevilla, 185 km | bunch 1 | settled | prediction |
| 18 | Thu 10 Sep | El Puerto de Santa Maria > Jerez de la Frontera, 32.1 km ITT (no morning read logged) | — | settled | prediction |
| 19 | Fri 11 Sep | Velez-Malaga > Penas Blancas, Estepona, 210.8 km (no morning read logged) | — | settled | prediction |
| 20 | Sat 12 Sep | La Calahorra > Collado del Alguacil, 186.8 km | res_2 0.45 · gc_day 0.4 · res_4 0.15 | settled | prediction |
| 21 | Sun 13 Sep | Carrefour Granada > Granada, 112 km | res_7 0.4 · bunch 0.35 · res_1 0.25 | settled | prediction |
The day key is the morning read of how the stage would unfold — the retrieval channel's menu item and weight, frozen before the start.