Cycling race predictor · Tour de Luxembourg

Tour de Luxembourg, stage by stage

Every stage gets priced the morning before under several course readings, compared with the bookmaker's line, and settled against the result — with a reflection on what the model got right and why.

5 stages predicted 5 settled updated 2026-09-22

← System overview, season boards & the full race views

Stage 1 — 2026-09-16

Won by van der Poel Mathieu

Hindsight (post-hoc)van der Poel Mathieu 22.3%

Full board, all scenarios →

Stage 2 — 2026-09-17

Won by van den Berg Marijn

Hindsight (post-hoc)van der Poel Mathieu 41.0%

Full board, all scenarios →

Stage 3 — 2026-09-18

Won by Reinderink Pepijn

Hindsight (post-hoc)van der Poel Mathieu 24.6%

Full board, all scenarios →

Stage 4 — 2026-09-19

Won by Piganzoli Davide

Hindsight (post-hoc)van der Poel Mathieu 23.4%

Full board, all scenarios →

Stage 5 — 2026-09-20

Won by van der Poel Mathieu

Main readPiganzoli Davide 17.8%

Alt: res_4van der Poel Mathieu 30.1%

Full board, all scenarios →